{"id":626,"date":"2026-09-13T20:35:02","date_gmt":"2026-09-13T20:35:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?p=626"},"modified":"2026-09-13T20:35:04","modified_gmt":"2026-09-13T20:35:04","slug":"goztepede-sorun-hucum-degil-savunma-dengesi-kayboluyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/goztepede-sorun-hucum-degil-savunma-dengesi-kayboluyor\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00f6ztepe\u2019de Sorun H\u00fccum De\u011fil: Savunma Dengesi Kayboluyor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">G\u00f6ztepe\u2019nin 2025\/26 ve 2026\/27 sezonlar\u0131ndaki ma\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131 ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ilk bak\u0131\u015fta ilgin\u00e7 bir tablo ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc tak\u0131m\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sonu\u00e7 problemlerine ra\u011fmen h\u00fccum \u00fcretimi geriye gitmi\u015f de\u011fil. Aksine G\u00f6ztepe daha fazla gol pozisyonuna giriyor, daha y\u00fcksek xG \u00fcretiyor ve daha fazla gol at\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fim top rakibe ge\u00e7ti\u011finde ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">H\u00fccum \u00fcretimi art\u0131yor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ge\u00e7en sezon ma\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na <strong>1.20 gol atan G\u00f6ztepe, bu sezon 1.80 gole<\/strong> y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda. Benzer geli\u015fimi h\u00fccumun di\u011fer g\u00f6stergelerinde de g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ma\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na xG <strong>1.63\u2019ten 2.18\u2019e<\/strong>, gol pozisyonu <strong>5.54\u2019ten 7.20\u2019ye<\/strong>, \u015fut say\u0131s\u0131 <strong>13.09\u2019dan 14.20\u2019ye<\/strong>, kilit pas ise <strong>5.71\u2019den 6.40\u2019a<\/strong> y\u00fckselmi\u015f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla mevcut tabloyu yaln\u0131zca \u201cG\u00f6ztepe h\u00fccum etmekte zorlan\u0131yor\u201d \u015feklinde a\u00e7\u0131klamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Tak\u0131m ge\u00e7en sezona g\u00f6re daha fazla pozisyon \u00fcretiyor ve rakip kaleye daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehdit olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fakat problem tam olarak burada ba\u015fl\u0131yor: <strong>G\u00f6ztepe\u2019nin h\u00fccumdaki geli\u015fiminden \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir savunma gerilemesi var.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rakiplerin \u00fcretimi neredeyse iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ge\u00e7en sezon G\u00f6ztepe rakiplerine ma\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na <strong>1.26 xG<\/strong> veriyordu. Bu sezon bu de\u011fer <strong>2.27\u2019ye<\/strong> y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yani G\u00f6ztepe\u2019nin kendi xG \u00fcretimi yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%34 artarken<\/strong>, rakibe verdi\u011fi xG yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%80 artt\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u015eutlarda da benzer bir de\u011fi\u015fim var. Rakipler ge\u00e7en sezon ma\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na 11.46 \u015fut \u00e7ekerken bu sezon <strong>17 \u015futa<\/strong> ula\u015f\u0131yor. Rakibin isabetli \u015fut ortalamas\u0131 da <strong>3.91\u2019den 6\u2019ya<\/strong> y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bunun do\u011fal sonucu skora da yans\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7en sezon ma\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na <strong>0.94 gol yiyen<\/strong> G\u00f6ztepe, bu sezon <strong>2.60 gol<\/strong> yiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Burada yaln\u0131zca kaleci performans\u0131na veya bitiricilik varyans\u0131na bakmak yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 olur. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc kaleye gelen \u015fut say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131nda rakibin toplam \u015fut ve xG \u00fcretiminin de ciddi bi\u00e7imde artmas\u0131, problemin daha geride ve daha yap\u0131sal oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ge\u00e7en sezonun en \u00f6nemli fark\u0131: Pozisyon dengesi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bana g\u00f6re iki sezon aras\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi en iyi anlatan veri xG dengesi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2025\/26 sezonunda G\u00f6ztepe ma\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na <strong>1.63 xG \u00fcretirken rakibine 1.26 xG veriyordu.<\/strong> B\u00f6ylece ma\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ortalama <strong>+0.37 xG avantaj\u0131yla<\/strong> oynuyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu sezon ise G\u00f6ztepe <strong>2.18 xG \u00fcretmesine ra\u011fmen 2.27 xG veriyor.<\/strong> Denge <strong>-0.09\u2019a<\/strong> d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Daha \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 olan ise de\u011fi\u015fimin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc: G\u00f6ztepe kendi h\u00fccumuna ma\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na <strong>+0.55 xG eklerken<\/strong>, rakiplerine ge\u00e7en sezondan <strong>+1.01 xG daha fazla<\/strong> vermeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yani h\u00fccumdaki geli\u015fim, savunmadaki kayb\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamaya yetmiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Top yine rakipte ama art\u0131k kontrol G\u00f6ztepe\u2019de de\u011fil<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0130ki sezonda da G\u00f6ztepe\u2019nin topa sahip olma oran\u0131 <strong>%43<\/strong>, rakiplerin ise %57.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu \u00f6nemli. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc tak\u0131m\u0131n temel oyun karakterinde topa sahip olma a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan radikal bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik bulunmuyor. G\u00f6ztepe yine topu daha fazla rakibine b\u0131rakan bir tak\u0131m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fakat ge\u00e7en sezon %43 topla oynarken rakibinden daha y\u00fcksek xG \u00fcreten bir G\u00f6ztepe vard\u0131. Bu sezon yine %43 topla oynuyor ancak art\u0131k rakibi daha fazla \u015fut \u00e7ekiyor ve daha y\u00fcksek xG \u00fcretiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla mesele <strong>topa sahip olup olmamak de\u011fil, top rakipteyken oyunu ne kadar kontrol edebildi\u011finiz.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ge\u00e7en sezon G\u00f6ztepe topu rakibe b\u0131rakabiliyor fakat rakibin \u00fcretimini s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rabiliyordu. Bu sezon ayn\u0131 tercih, \u00e7ok daha fazla pozisyon verilen bir yap\u0131ya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fiziksel kapasiteden \u00e7ok organizasyon problemi olabilir<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0130kili m\u00fccadele verileri ise ba\u015fka bir noktaya dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. G\u00f6ztepe ge\u00e7en sezon ma\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na 167.31, bu sezon 160 ikili m\u00fccadeleye giriyor ve iki sezonda da kazanma oran\u0131 <strong>%50<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hava m\u00fccadeleleri 54.49\u2019dan <strong>63.6\u2019ya<\/strong> \u00e7\u0131karken kazanma y\u00fczdesi %48\u2019den %47\u2019ye gerilemi\u015f. Dribbling say\u0131s\u0131 ise 21.74\u2019ten <strong>24.8\u2019e y\u00fckselmi\u015f.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu nedenle mevcut problemi yaln\u0131zca \u201ctak\u0131m fiziksel olarak geriye gitti\u201d \u015feklinde a\u00e7\u0131klamak da yeterli de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As\u0131l soru \u015fu olabilir:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>G\u00f6ztepe m\u00fccadeleyi nerede, hangi mesafelerde ve nas\u0131l bir tak\u0131m yerle\u015fimi i\u00e7erisinde yap\u0131yor?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00d6n alan bask\u0131s\u0131yla savunma hatt\u0131n\u0131n birbirinden kopmas\u0131, stoperlerin e\u015fle\u015fmelerine yeterince yakla\u015famamas\u0131 veya ikinci toplar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan rakibe alan ve zaman b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda fiziksel m\u00fccadele say\u0131lar\u0131 \u00e7ok de\u011fi\u015fmeden savunma etkinli\u011fi ciddi bi\u00e7imde d\u00fc\u015febilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu nedenle rakiplerin 17 \u015futa ve 2.27 xG\u2019ye ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n kayna\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bireysel m\u00fccadelelerden \u00f6nce <strong>tak\u0131m\u0131n savunma yerle\u015fiminde<\/strong> aramak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Agresiflikteki de\u011fi\u015fim de dikkat \u00e7ekici<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bir ba\u015fka veri ise fauller.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">G\u00f6ztepe\u2019nin ma\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 faul <strong>17.43\u2019ten 13.2\u2019ye<\/strong> gerilemi\u015f. Yakla\u015f\u0131k %24\u2019l\u00fck bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f tek ba\u015f\u0131na olumlu veya olumsuz olarak yorumlanamaz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ancak rakibi bozmay\u0131, ikinci toplar\u0131 toplamay\u0131 ve topsuz oyunda agresifli\u011fi temel alan bir tak\u0131m a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan incelenmesi gereken bir de\u011fi\u015fim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00d6zellikle faullerin hangi b\u00f6lgelerde yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda G\u00f6ztepe\u2019nin rakip ge\u00e7i\u015flerini ne kadar erken kesebildi\u011fi ve savunma agresifli\u011finin de\u011fi\u015fip de\u011fi\u015fmedi\u011fi daha net anla\u015f\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">H\u00fccum b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc, savunma daha h\u0131zl\u0131 geriledi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0130ki sezon aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131 tek bir c\u00fcmleyle \u00f6zetlemek gerekirse:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>G\u00f6ztepe\u2019nin h\u00fccumu b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f ancak savunmas\u0131 h\u00fccumundan \u00e7ok daha h\u0131zl\u0131 gerilemi\u015f durumda.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ge\u00e7en sezon daha az pozisyon \u00fcreten fakat rakibine de \u00e7ok az veren bir tak\u0131m vard\u0131. Bu sezon h\u00fccum kapasitesi y\u00fckselmi\u015f olsa da ma\u00e7lar\u0131n iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc hale gelmesi G\u00f6ztepe\u2019nin en \u00f6nemli avantajlar\u0131ndan birini ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu nedenle \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc yaln\u0131zca h\u00fccum organizasyonunda veya daha fazla topa sahip olmakta aramak yerine; <strong>\u00f6n alan bask\u0131s\u0131 ile savunma hatt\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki mesafenin k\u0131salt\u0131lmas\u0131, stoperlerin e\u015fle\u015fme davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131, ikinci toplar\u0131n savunulmas\u0131 ve rakibin ceza sahas\u0131na eri\u015fiminin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131<\/strong> \u00f6ncelikli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Elbette sezonun hen\u00fcz erken b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde olmam\u0131z nedeniyle \u00f6zellikle gol ortalamalar\u0131 zaman i\u00e7erisinde normalle\u015febilir. Ancak rakibin xG\u2019sinin <strong>1.26\u2019dan 2.27\u2019ye<\/strong>, \u015fut say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n <strong>11.46\u2019dan 17\u2019ye<\/strong> \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 yaln\u0131zca skor \u015fanss\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla a\u00e7\u0131klanabilecek bir de\u011fi\u015fim de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">G\u00f6ztepe daha fazla \u00fcretiyor. Problem \u00fcretmekte de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Problem, \u00fcretti\u011finden daha fazlas\u0131n\u0131 rakibine vermeye ba\u015flamas\u0131nda.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00f6ztepe\u2019nin 2025\/26 ve 2026\/27 sezonlar\u0131ndaki ma\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131 ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ilk bak\u0131\u015fta ilgin\u00e7 bir tablo ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc tak\u0131m\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sonu\u00e7 problemlerine ra\u011fmen h\u00fccum \u00fcretimi geriye gitmi\u015f de\u011fil. Aksine G\u00f6ztepe daha fazla gol pozisyonuna giriyor, daha y\u00fcksek xG \u00fcretiyor ve daha fazla gol at\u0131yor. As\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fim top rakibe ge\u00e7ti\u011finde ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. H\u00fccum \u00fcretimi art\u0131yor Ge\u00e7en sezon&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":629,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,176,22,27],"tags":[190,194],"class_list":["post-626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-futbol","category-goztepe","category-kose-yazilari","category-super-lig","tag-goztepe","tag-super-lig"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/download-4.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=626"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/626\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":628,"href":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/626\/revisions\/628"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/629"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/macdergi.com\/?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}